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I've put the full memo in the document panel (ai_ml_radiology_predicates.md). Here's the essence.
Across 58 AI/ML-enabled radiology clearances since January 2024, the pattern is consistent: a device cites another AI/ML device of the same functional class as its primary predicate — often an earlier version of the same product — plus one or more reference devices to bridge an indication or feature gap 115110.
How FDA treats the technological differences:
Same class, same predicate. Triage tools cite triage predicates, reconstruction cites reconstruction — sharing principles of operation, DICOM inputs, and worklist-prioritization or enhanced-image output 128136.
Only the finding or algorithm differs. syngo.CT LVO Detection cleared against a brain-hemorrhage predicate — FDA held the different target finding raises no new questions because intended use, DICOM inputs, and parallel-to-standard-of-care workflow are unchanged 140.
Performance shortfalls → benefit-risk framing. For Annalise on non-contrast CT, FDA acknowledged NCCT is weaker than CTA and still cleared it, leaning on subgroup analyses and a benefit-risk discussion 114115.
Expanded indication → a targeted standalone study. Rayvolve's adult→pediatric expansion was accepted on overlapping AUC confidence intervals with the adult predicate dataset 133134.
Reconstruction/enhancement → bench-proven image quality. AIR Recon DL and Sonic DL carried on phantom and in-vivo metrics (PSNR, SSIM, ADC accuracy) plus limited reader studies 117144.
Quantification → "deterministic derivatives." AI4CMR's added flow outputs were deemed deterministic derivatives of already-validated metrics, waiving clinical validation 135.
The gap is closed with standalone blinded multi-reader studies, time-to-notification benchmarking against the predicate, and IEC 62304 / ISO 14971 V&V — with Predetermined Change Control Plans now appearing for AI lifecycle management 151159.
This is a representative 21-device subset of the 58 candidates; a few summaries returned thin predicate fields, flagged in the memo. The full predicate tables and per-device rationale are in the document panel.
I searched the FDA 510(k)/De Novo database for AI/ML- and deep-learning-enabled radiology and medical-imaging devices cleared from January 2024 onward, using lexically diverse keyword sets (deep learning image analysis, convolutional neural networks, computer-assisted triage/notification, MRI/PET reconstruction and denoising, CADe/CADx detection, and AI quantification). That discovery pass returned 58 distinct cleared devices. From those I drilled a diverse, recent subset of 21 clearances spanning the four dominant AI/ML radiology archetypes: computer-aided triage/notification (product code QAS), computer-aided detection/CADx (QFM, MYN, QBS), image reconstruction/enhancement (LNH, LLZ), and quantitative post-processing (QIH). For each I read the 510(k) summary to extract the cited predicate(s) and reference device(s), the technological differences FDA identified, and the rationale and testing FDA relied on to conclude those differences did not raise new or different questions of safety and effectiveness.
The clearest pattern: recent AI/ML radiology devices overwhelmingly cite another AI/ML device of the same functional class as the primary predicate, frequently an earlier version of the same product line, plus one or more AI reference devices to bridge indication or feature gaps. FDA's substantial-equivalence logic for this class is now well-worn: same principles of operation, same DICOM inputs, same output (worklist prioritization / notification or an enhanced image), same parallel-to-standard-of-care workflow, with differences confined to the specific finding, algorithm architecture, or performance level.
| Subject 510(k) | Device | Cleared | Primary predicate | Reference device(s) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K253818 | Annalise Enterprise | 2026-03-03 | K222884 Rapid NCCT Stroke 115 | DEN170073 Aidoc BriefCase 115 |
| K250831 | Annalise Enterprise (QFM) | 2025-04-23 | K223428 qER-Notify 110 | K240950 Critical Care Suite 2.1 110 |
| K261317 | BriefCase-Triage | 2026-05-14 | K220709 Aidoc BriefCase for VO 149 | K253578 CARE Multi-Triage CT 30 |
| K253578 | BriefCase-Triage CARE Multi-Triage | 2026-02-26 | K251406 BriefCase-Triage for Aortic Dissection 136 | — |
| K260729 | Vascular Assist Occlusion Triage (VAOT) | 2026-06-18 | K220709 Aidoc BriefCase LVO Triage 148 | — |
| K251983 | Brainomix 360 Triage Stroke | 2025-08-26 | K232496 Brainomix 360 Triage Stroke 128 | K231195 Brainomix 360 Triage ICH 128 |
| K243145 | syngo.CT LVO Detection | 2025-04-10 | K232431 syngo.CT Brain Hemorrhage 140 | — |
| K250685 | Methinks NCCT Stroke | 2025-06-16 | K222884 Rapid NCCT Stroke 137 | — |
| Subject 510(k) | Device | Cleared | Primary predicate | Reference device(s) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K252379 | AIR Recon DL | 2025-12-23 | K213717 AIR Recon DL 144 | — |
| K243667 | Sonic DL | 2025-06-05 | K223523 Sonic DL 119 | — |
| K240290 | AiMIFY (1.x) | 2024-08-21 | K172951 SubtleMR 125 | K152623 SubtlePET 125 |
| Subject 510(k) | Device | Cleared | Primary predicate | Reference device(s) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K253057 | AI-Rad Companion Brain MR | 2026-01-22 | K232305 AI-Rad Companion Brain MR 143 | — |
| K252084 | AI4CMR v2.0 | 2026-02-11 | K242781 cvi42 (reference) 135 | — |
| K241098 | NeuroQuant | 2024-08-22 | K170981 NeuroQuant 112 | — |
Five recurring treatments emerge across the subset.
1. "The difference is only the finding or the algorithm, not the principle of operation." For triage/notification software, FDA repeatedly held that a different target finding (LVO vs. ICH, aortic dissection vs. pneumothorax) or a different/improved AI model is a technological difference that does not raise new questions of safety and effectiveness, because the subject and predicate share intended use, DICOM inputs, worklist-prioritization output, and operate in parallel to standard of care without altering the original image or removing/de-prioritizing cases. This is the explicit logic in syngo.CT LVO Detection (only the clinical finding differs from the hemorrhage predicate) 140141, BriefCase CARE Multi-Triage (fine-tuned modules from a "locked foundation model," same triage function) 136, and both Annalise Enterprise clearances, where FDA localized the differences to "set of findings and algorithm" and "AI models/performance of algorithm" 109110115.
2. Performance shortfalls handled through benefit-risk framing rather than rejection. In Annalise Enterprise (K253818) FDA acknowledged NCCT is a less advanced modality than CTA, so infarct-detection performance could be expected to be poorer than CTA-based approaches, and still cleared it, citing same principles of operation, subgroup analyses across vascular territories, and a benefit-risk discussion showing the device performs as intended 114115.
3. Expanded indication supported by a targeted standalone study. Rayvolve broadened the population from adults to pediatric patients aged 2+; FDA accepted overlapping AUC confidence intervals between the pediatric and adult (predicate) datasets as evidence of statistically non-inferior performance 133134. Brainomix 360 Triage Stroke added a subarachnoid-hemorrhage indication and a re-architected ICH deep-learning model, and FDA held that offering three configurable workflows in one device and improving the algorithm did not raise different questions, supported by clinical validation across ICH subtypes 127128129.
4. Reconstruction/enhancement devices: image quality is "the primary question of safety and effectiveness," proven on the bench. For the same-family upgrades (AIR Recon DL adding DL Phase Correction, Sonic DL adding a 3D CNN and extending to 7.0T), FDA relied on nonclinical phantom and in-vivo bench testing (PSNR, RMSE, SSIM, ADC accuracy, low-contrast detectability), supplemented for Sonic DL by Likert-score reader studies, concluding no new hazards and adequate diagnostic image quality 117119120144.
5. Quantification devices: "deterministic derivatives" and no-new-diagnostic-output arguments. AI4CMR v2.0 added 2D flow outputs that FDA accepted as deterministic mathematical derivatives of already-validated core metrics, so clinical validation was not required (multi-vendor agreement testing and Dice-coefficient segmentation validation sufficed) 135. NeuroQuant added T2*/SWI as a data source but kept the same volumetric-quantification intended use, so V&V plus clinical validation of the reports/overlays supported SE 112.
Recent AI/ML radiology 510(k)s cite a same-class (often same-family) AI predicate plus reference devices, localize the differences to finding, algorithm, or feature, and close the gap with standalone performance and bench testing. FDA's reasoning is now formulaic: shared intended use, inputs, output, and workflow mean the difference is "technological only" and raises no new questions of safety and effectiveness.
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